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Nov 10 by shahid No Comments. Didi ki gaand ki chudai Mere papa ek business man hai aur hum delhi mein rehte hai, meri mummy ek govt bank mein job karti hai. Hamare ghar mein sabhi log kafi ache dekhte hai, mere papa, meri mummy jo ki ek bohat khubsurat aurat hai, wo apne aap ko kafi maintain rakhti hai, aur meri behan ke to kya kehna, wo ek bohat hi sexy ladki hai, aur uska figure bhi bada mast hai, meri behan ka naam shalini hai. Main bhi dekhne mein kafi smart hu. Hamara delhi mein 3 bedroom ka ghar hai, jisme ek room mummy.
Oct 23 by shahid No Comments. Mera naam Raghav hai aur main kafi handsome hoon. Main aj apke liye apni ek kahani le kar aya hoon. Kahani pard kar apko sabko bahot maja anne wala hai. Par usee pehle main apko apne bare me bhi btana chahta hoon. Toh dosto bina kisi deri ke main apko apnr bare me btata hoon. Main kafi handsome hoon. Aur mere lund ka size bhi kafi acha hai. Mere lund se kayi ladkiyo ki choot ko aram milta hai aur kafi shant bhi hoti hai.
Mujhe wese choot se jyada gand ko marne me bahot majaa aata hai. Aur aye bhi kyu na akhirkar gand hoti hi itni mast hai ki pucho mat. Chalo ab main apko apni kahani par le kar chalta hoon. Toh bat ye tab ki hai jab main apni bua ki beti ki shadi me gya hua tha.
Shadi ko toh abhi ek mahina baki tha par ma Sep 25 by shahid No Comments. Sep 1 by shahid 1 Comment. Didi Ki Gaand Maari Jabardast Tareeke Se Didi Ki Gaand Maari Jabardast Tareeke Se Hi friends, mera naam Abhishek hai name changed main punjab me in rehta hu and Punjabi family ko hi belong krta hu, mere ghar me in main air mere papa rehte haim, mom ki death ho chuki hai, an main apni story pe aata hi, ye ek sachi story has bilkul bhi fake nhi hai.
Main 19 years ka hun, and meri cousin sister 30 saal ki hai. Ye baat kuch mahine pehle ki hai, mere papa ne ek din ke liye kahi kaam se jaana tha to unhone didi ko call krke bula diya mera dhyaan rakhne ke liye, Didi doosri colony mein hi paas me. Aug 9 by shahid 1 Comment. Ab mama ne meri pant khol ke meri chut ke darshan kar liye the.My Wife Is A (WO)MAN. Crossdressing short film
Aur unka man ab meri chut ko chatne ka tha. Ab aap aage padhe.!This is an absolute must watch video before placing your first college football bowl game wager.
Aldo 2 Odds Roundup, Card AnalysisOddsShark. Edgar was scheduled to have the next title shot in the main event here before pulling out a few weeks ago due to injury.
Holloway has finished three of his past five opponents, including his last two, heading into his first title defense. The 25-year-old Hawaiian is definitely the bigger fighter in this matchup, with a four-inch height advantage, and he has used that noticeable size edge to climb up the ranks of the division over the years.
His last loss inside the Octagon came against McGregor more than four years ago when he was just 21 years old. The co-main event at UFC 218 will feature a pair of heavyweights who are on opposite ends of their respective careers. Francis Ngannou (10-1) is riding a nine-bout winning streak and is viewed as a potential future champ.
Meanwhile, opponent Alistair Overeem (43-15, one no-contest) recently got a title shot and has won two straight since getting knocked out in the first round by current champ Stipe Miocic. Louis Blues Tampa Bay Lightning Toronto Maple Leafs Vancouver Canucks Vegas Golden Knights Washington Capitals Winnipeg Jets NCAA Hockey NHL Odds MLB All MLB Arizona Diamondbacks Atlanta Braves Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox Chicago Cubs Chicago White Sox Cincinnati Reds Cleveland Indians Colorado Rockies Detroit Tigers Houston Astros Kansas City Royals Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Dodgers Miami Marlins Milwaukee Brewers Minnesota Twins New York Mets New York Yankees Oakland Athletics Philadelphia Phillies Pittsburgh Pirates San Diego Padres San Francisco Giants Seattle Mariners St.
The Blues will try to stay hot in a tough road test this Saturday against Liverpool. Despite having three losses so far this season, Chelsea currently sit in third place on the English Premier League Table with 25 points and an 8-3-1 record. Liverpool have 22 points at 6-2-4 and could move into a tie with Chelsea with a win in this one.
Each of the last two games between these two teams played in Liverpool ended in a draw. West Brom have played to a draw in five of their last eight matches against Tottenham. Manchester United picked up another blowout win at home last week, improving to 6-0 at Old Trafford while outscoring opponents 19-1 over those six games.
This will be the first time that Brighton have faced Manchester United since 1993, with Man U holding a 10-1-5 all-time edge over the club. Manchester City have been printing money for their backers as a big chalk favorite all season long, running away with the top spot on the table thus far with an 11-0-1 record.
Heading into this weekend, Burnley (6-2-4) and Arsenal (7-4-1) both have 22 points. Despite being tied for 11th in the league in scoring with only 12 goals this season, Burnley have managed to hang with Liverpool and Arsenal thanks to a defense that is tied with Tottenham for the third fewest goals allowed at only nine on the season.
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At quarterback, Alex Hornibrook is 156-for-244 passing for 2,157 yards, 21 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Four receivers have at least 300 yards. TE Troy Fumagalli is the most trusted target with 38 catches, 471 yards and 4 touchdowns.
On defense, Ryan Connelly leads the Badgers with 71 total tackles. He also has 10 tackles for loss and 3 sacks. Edwards has 67 total tackles, 11 tackles for loss and 2 sacks. Ohio State is averaging 43. Barrett is 217-for-328 passing for 2,728 yards, 33 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. He is second on the team in rushing with 672 yards and 9 scores. Though Barrett injured his knee last Saturday, with coach Urban Meyer blaming it on a cameraman, Barrett is expected to play.
On the ground, freshman J. Dobbins leads the way. Dobbins has 1,190 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns. Mike Weber adds 602 rushing yards and a team-best 10 touchdowns.
Through the air, K. Hill paces the team with 51 receptions, while Parris Campbell is No. As longtime Big Ten foes, Ohio State and Wisconsin have a long history. The Buckeyes have dominated for much of the series history, going 58-18-5. Ohio State even won 21 games in a row from 1960 to 1980. Currently, Ohio State has beaten Wisconsin five consecutive times. Four of those victories have been close. The one exception was in 2014, when the Buckeyes crushed the Badgers 59-0 in the Big Ten title game and used that to earn a spot in the College Football Playoff.
Ohio State would go on to win the national championship, its first since 2002. What does it all mean.
How much can you win. What needs to happen. The odds will determine how much you will win in return for the money you bet (stake). Odds are determined by the probability of a certain outcome arriving. Coming into the game, the Sharks topped the regular season table and earned home ground advantage, so they were the favourites.
Bookmakers thought they were the most likely team to win, with Western Province the outsiders and even bigger odds on the draw. The numbers next to each outcome (odds) tells you how much you will receive if that particular result arrives.
Drawing on Construal Level Theory, we propose that increases in construal level facilitate the use of information from past experience, and thereby increase prediction accuracy. This proposal was tested in two studies examining predictions of personal spending.
Consistent with the hypotheses, individuals induced to construe the prediction target at a higher level of abstraction generated more accurate predictions (Study 1) and the effect of increased construal level on prediction was attributable to a greater reliance on past experience (Studies 1 and 2). The findings indicate that high-level construal can sometimes benefit prediction accuracy. Predictions spanning one year for British overseas and independent territories, the South Atlantic and Gibraltar are also available.
Tournament PredictionsTournament Predictions: 2017 RSM ClassicWelcome to the Golf Digest Tournament Predictor.
Lucius Riccio, a statistical contributor to Golf Digest for 30 years and one of the inventors of the USGA Slope System, has developed a model for predicting tournament outcomes. Each week we'll run Riccio's forecast against Golf Digest writer Joel Beall's expert picks, offering analysis and advice in the process. Customize the prediction tool below to make your own selections and see how you stack up against the pros. By Joel BeallNovember 14, 2017Amazingly, the fall season is already coming to a close.
The eight-event campaign wraps up this week with the RSM Classic in Saint Simons Island, Georgia. At first glance, past editions of the tournament (formerly the McGladrey) tout winning scores hovering around 15 under. While that figure seemingly falls in line with other PGA Tour contests, Sea Island's Seaside coursewhere three of the four tournament rounds are heldweighs in as a par 70. The southern property is very conducive to low scores, and the players have taken advantage of the lowered defenses.
What's facilitated past success at the RSM Classic. Simple: getting it done around the dance floors. Last year's winner, Mackenzie Hughes, paced the field with a 1. That runner-ups Billy Horschel, Camilo Villegas, Henrik Norlander and Blayne Barber all turned in similarly solid efforts with the flat stick show this is one of the few events where "drive for show, putt for dough" holds true.
The professor, however, tends to favor a more aggregated approach in his picks.Referring to statistical significance does not necessarily mean that the overall result is significant in real world terms. For example, in a large study of a drug it may be shown that the drug has a statistically significant but very small beneficial effect, such that the drug is unlikely to help the patient noticeably. While in principle the acceptable level of statistical significance may be subject to debate, the p-value is the smallest significance level that allows the test to reject the null hypothesis.
This is logically equivalent to saying that the p-value is the probability, assuming the null hypothesis is true, of observing a result at least as extreme as the test statistic. Therefore, the smaller the p-value, the lower the probability of committing type I error. Some problems are usually associated with this framework (See criticism of hypothesis testing):Some well-known statistical tests and procedures are:Misuse of statistics can produce subtle, but serious errors in description and interpretationsubtle in the sense that even experienced professionals make such errors, and serious in the sense that they can lead to devastating decision errors.
For instance, social policy, medical practice, and the reliability of structures like bridges all rely on the proper use of statistics.
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Even when statistical techniques are correctly applied, the results can be difficult to interpret for those lacking expertise. The statistical significance of a trend in the datawhich measures the extent to which a trend could be caused by random variation in the samplemay or may not agree with an intuitive sense of its significance. The set of basic statistical skills (and skepticism) that people need to deal with information in their everyday lives properly is referred to as statistical literacy.
There is a general perception that statistical knowledge is all-too-frequently intentionally misused by finding ways to interpret only the data that are favorable to the presenter. In an attempt to shed light on the use and misuse of statistics, reviews of statistical techniques used in particular fields are conducted (e.
Warne, Lazo, Ramos, and Ritter (2012)). Thus, people may often believe that something is true even if it is not well represented. Statistical analysis of a data set often reveals that two variables (properties) of the population under consideration tend to vary together, as if they were connected.
For example, a study of annual income that also looks at age of death might find that poor people tend to have shorter lives than affluent people. The correlation phenomena could be caused by a third, previously unconsidered phenomenon, called a lurking variable or confounding variable.
For this reason, there is no way to immediately infer the existence of a causal relationship between the two variables. The scope of the discipline of statistics broadened in the early 19th century to include the collection and analysis of data in general.
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Today, statistics is widely employed in government, business, and natural and social sciences. Its mathematical foundations were laid in the 17th century with the development of the probability theory by Gerolamo Cardano, Blaise Pascal and Pierre de Fermat.
Mathematical probability theory arose from the study of games of chance, although the concept of probability was already examined in medieval law and by philosophers such as Juan Caramuel. The modern field of statistics emerged in the late 19th and early 20th century in three stages. He originated the concepts of sufficiency, ancillary statistics, Fisher's linear discriminator and Fisher information.
Edwards has remarked that it is "probably the most celebrated argument in evolutionary biology". The final wave, which mainly saw the refinement and expansion of earlier developments, emerged from the collaborative work between Egon Pearson and Jerzy Neyman in the 1930s.
They introduced the concepts of "Type II" error, power of a test and confidence intervals. Jerzy Neyman in 1934 showed that stratified random sampling was in general a better method of estimation than purposive (quota) sampling.
The use of modern computers has expedited large-scale statistical computations, and has also made possible new methods that are impractical to perform manually. Statistics continues to be an area of active research, for example on the problem of how to analyze Big data.Commercial reproduction, distribution or transmission of any part or parts of this website or any information contained therein by any means whatsoever without the prior written permission is not permitted.
You can watch a video of his achievements here.
The social tipping product brings together and analyses the opinions of over 450,000 users worldwide across 40 different sports. Along with ensuring fair coverage of the gambling industry we highlight the great work of the Calvin Ayre Foundation.
Commentsviews and opinions expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of CalvinAyre. We ended the month with a total profit of 126 points which means we are now back in the game with an overall profit of 28. We're back with another update to our Golf Betting Expert review and we've seen a slight increase in the strike rate this month, however it still ended with a loss in the end.
We lost 19 points in total which gives us an overall loss of 97. Since last month we noticed that the advised starting bank on the sales page has now been upped from 200 to 500 points, which seems a much more sensible size after witnessing the massive swing in variance the service has experienced over the last couple of months.
We are going to continue following the service for another three months and will report back soon with our next update. It's been a turbulent time in our Golf Betting Expert review with a terrible losing run where just 2 out of 42 bets returned a profit. After the bets from the Tour Championship and Portugal Masters had been settled, our 200 point bank had dwindled all the way down to 19.
The next set of tips were received on the following Thursday ahead of the British Masters, but at this stage our bank was 0. Technically this is a bust bank, but we went on to record the available odds and waited to see what happened next anyway. Since starting the review we are still down by 78. Clearly the advised starting bank of 200 points is not sufficient and we can't deny that we have lost confidence in the service. Despite this, we have decided to continue following the tips for a little while longer to see whether a recovery can be made and whether the recommended bank will be adjusted.
It's been a pretty awful start to our Golf Betting Expert review with a poor strike rate of 4. Just 3 bets from the 63 we received returned a profit which gives us an overall loss of 95. We did expect long losing runs as that goes hand in hand with golf betting, but we weren't expecting it to be this bad. Hopefully we will see an improvement over the next month, otherwise this could turn out to be a disaster.